MGI - Media and Games Invest

12.56SEK -6.69 %

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MGI – Media and Games Invest SE (“MGI”) is an advertising software platform with strong first-party games content. MGI’s main operational presence is in North America and Europe. The Company combines organic growth with value-generating synergetic acquisitions, which has demonstrated continuous strong profitable growth with a revenue CAGR of 77% (2018 –2021). In addition to strong organic growth, MGI has successfully acquired more than 35 companies and assets in the past six years. The acquired assets and companies have been fully integrated and cloud technology is actively used to achieve efficiency gains and competitive advantages. MGI is registered as Societas Europaea in Malta (registration number SE 15) and its shares are listed on Nasdaq First North Premier Growth Market in Stockholm and in the Scale segment of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The Company has a secured bond that is listed on Nasdaq Stockholm and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange Open Market.

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P/E (23e)
5.88
EV/EBIT (adj.) (23e)
5.9
P/B (23e)
0.5
Dividend yield-% (23e)
-
Target price
21.00 SEK
Recommendation
Buy
Updated
1.9.2023
First North Stockholm
M8G
Daily low / high price
12.4 / 13.82 SEK
Market cap
2B SEK
Turnover
2.36M SEK
Volume
185K
Risk and recommendation
HighRiskLow
SellRecommendationBuy

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Financial calendar

Major Owners
Source: Millistream Market Data AB

OwnerCapitalVotes
Bodhivas GmbH26.4 %26.4 %
Oaktree Capital17.7 %17.7 %
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Stay up-to-date with the latest talk about MGI - Media and Games Invest
Remcolla ostohousut edelleen tukevasti.
AnttiWarr
2 weeks ago💙 9

Income statement

20192020202120222023e2024e2025e2026e
Revenue83.89140.22252.17324.44303.94321.35350.63381.30
growth-%157.18 %67.14 %79.84 %28.66 %-6.32 %5.73 %9.11 %8.75 %
EBITDA15.5426.5565.0484.7585.4591.5898.18104.48
EBIT (adj.)10.4617.4754.8776.5674.0669.4472.9276.24
EBIT5.0011.0436.8026.6256.7058.4361.3664.57
Profit before taxes-0.763.9014.89-11.3412.8317.2722.8928.49
Net income-0.323.0616.06-20.3211.2012.9617.1721.37
EPS (adj.)0.090.110.240.190.180.150.180.21
growth-%0.78 %30.51 %117.05 %-22.75 %-3.59 %-16.09 %19.84 %15.02 %
Dividend0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
Dividend ratio

Profitability and return on capital

20192020202120222023e2024e2025e2026e
EBITDA-%18.53 %18.93 %25.79 %26.12 %28.11 %28.50 %28.00 %27.40 %
EBIT-% (adj.)12.46 %12.46 %21.76 %23.60 %24.37 %21.61 %20.80 %19.99 %
EBIT-%5.96 %7.87 %14.60 %8.20 %18.66 %18.18 %17.50 %16.93 %
ROE-0.39 %2.23 %6.63 %-6.45 %3.41 %3.80 %4.83 %5.70 %
ROI2.35 %4.28 %7.65 %3.73 %7.61 %7.91 %8.43 %8.92 %

Valuation

20192020202120222023e2024e2025e2026e
Share price (EUR)2.074.421.721.051.051.051.05
Shares70.02117.07149.68159.25159.25159.25159.25159.25
Market cap242.34661.59273.91167.81167.81167.81167.81
Enterprise value297.53857.38545.21437.30438.57434.95415.72
EV/S-2.123.401.681.441.361.241.09
EV/EBITDA-11.2113.186.435.124.794.433.98
EV/EBIT (adj.)-17.0315.637.125.906.325.965.45
EV/EBIT-26.9523.3020.487.717.517.096.44
P/E (adj.)-18.6618.359.255.887.005.845.08
P/E-57.8639.00-14.9812.959.787.85
P/B-1.372.150.850.500.480.460.44
P/S-1.732.620.840.550.520.480.44
Dividend yield
Equity ratio53.95 %45.83 %32.92 %30.80 %32.02 %34.07 %36.04 %38.04 %
Gearing ratio21.58 %31.21 %63.67 %84.32 %81.03 %78.36 %73.66 %64.55 %

Quarter data

Q3/22Q4/222022Q1/23Q2/23Q3/23eQ4/23e2023eQ1/24e
Revenue87.6292.90324.4468.7576.1877.5781.43303.94
EBITDA21.3726.4784.7517.4319.9923.0425.0085.45
EBIT13.26-8.4026.6211.0512.8215.4417.4056.70
Profit before taxes4.45-23.17-11.340.590.085.356.8112.83
Net income3.18-29.08-20.320.571.504.025.1111.20
Publisher
MGI: Challenging market leads to lower revenues

MGI’s Q2 revenues came in lower than expected, while operating profit was in line with our estimates. MGI decided to lower its guidance for 2023 due to a more challenging market environment. Operating cash flow improved compared to last quarter and should improve further as the year continues. Despite the challenging short-term outlook, MGI has maintained good operating margins. As highlighted in yesterday’s CMD, MGI is well-positioned to capture further market share and we see a clear upside in the low valuation as ad spending picks back up.

Research01.09.2023 by Anton Damstén
Publisher
MGI Q2 morning result: Stable operating profit, but lower revenue than expected

MGI reported its Q2 2023 result this morning. Revenue came in lower than our expectations due to macro headwinds. Adjusted operating profit (EBIT) was in line with our expectations, with the margin improving somewhat. Due to the more challenging macro environment, MGI lowered its guidance for 2023 and now expects stable year-over-year revenues and adjusted EBITDA.

Analyst Comment31.08.2023 by Anton Damstén
Publisher
MGI Q2 and CMD on Thursday: We expect moderate revenue growth with stable operating profit

MGI will publish its Q2 results on Thursday morning (August 31). For Q2, we expect mid-single-digit revenue growth in line with the full-year guidance. We expect operating profits to be broadly in line with the comparable quarter. After publishing their Q2 results, MGI will hold a Capital Markets Day (“CMD”) starting at 10:00 CEST. During the CMD, the company will present its Q2 results and provide an update on its strategy and a deeper insight into current developments within the programmatic advertising business and MGI’s positioning.

Analyst Comment29.08.2023 by Anton Damstén
Publisher
Considerable differences in valuation levels between the technology companies we monitor

We reviewed the valuation levels of the technology companies we monitor using earnings- and sales-based multiples for 2023 and 2024. The group of companies is very diverse and includes companies in different development stages and varying growth and profitability profiles.

Analyst Comment27.06.2023 by Roni Peuranheimo
Publisher
MGI Q1’23: Mixed result

MGI’s Q1’23 was mixed with lower revenue but better adjusted EBITDA than we expected. Analyst Anton Damsten summarizes the Q1 result and explains what 2023 and the medium term look like for the company.

Video08.06.2023 by Pia Maljanen, Anton Damstén